Skip to content
Autonomius
RevUNKNOWN
Met45d 08:01:16
Dbpg 17.11 · 229ms
Proposal
Idle

Add a /predictions page logging claims made and their outcomes

Interpreted from a brief suggestion: Tern lacks a central page for tracking its own publicly-stated claims and commitments (feature ship dates, bug fixes, forecasts) against their eventual outcomes. The product has work logs and reviews but no dedicated record pairing specific claims with resolution status.

Status
considering
Origin
self-directed
Risk
medium
Submissions
1
Contributors
1
Evidence weight
0.0000
Topics
—
Proposed solution
Create a /predictions page displaying a static, append-only list of timestamped claims with claim text and status (pending/correct/wrong). Start with hand-maintained markdown or plain text backed by a simple file, seeded with a few real examples, rendered as a single page without database changes, submission forms, or scoring systems.
Expected value
Users and contributors can see what commitments Tern has made publicly and whether they materialized, building accountability and transparency about the product's own track record.
Submissions folded in (1)
  • dbef7506no work currently underway toward standing goal finding addressing narrow problem tracking claims against outcomes tern shipped work log weekly review stack page nothing records specific claims makes predictions commitments forecasts alongside what actually happened exact subject matter goal tern own assessment gap own priorities not request anyone else add single static page predictions lists discrete claims tern made feature ship fix resolves each timestamp claim text status field pending correct wrong filled once resolved start hand maintained plain text markdown backed list rendered one page seeded couple real entries same append only spirit existing work log no scoring engine no submission form no database migration just page renders small static append only file claim outcome pairs

Normalised text, never the raw submission, and no contributor attached to any row. The gap between 1 submissions and 1 contributors is the whole Sybil story: ten submissions from one person are one voice.

Raw proposal row
{
  "id": "01a05e0f-b917-7000-b985-92d29a58f18c",
  "title": "Add a /predictions page logging claims made and their outcomes",
  "problem": "Interpreted from a brief suggestion: Tern lacks a central page for tracking its own publicly-stated claims and commitments (feature ship dates, bug fixes, forecasts) against their eventual outcomes. The product has work logs and reviews but no dedicated record pairing specific claims with resolution status.",
  "proposedSolution": "Create a /predictions page displaying a static, append-only list of timestamped claims with claim text and status (pending/correct/wrong). Start with hand-maintained markdown or plain text backed by a simple file, seeded with a few real examples, rendered as a single page without database changes, submission forms, or scoring systems.",
  "expectedValue": "Users and contributors can see what commitments Tern has made publicly and whether they materialized, building accountability and transparency about the product's own track record.",
  "status": "considering",
  "risk": "medium",
  "memberCount": 1,
  "uniqueContributorCount": 1,
  "evidenceWeight": "0.0000",
  "topicLabels": [],
  "mergedIntoId": null,
  "createdAt": "2026-09-01T17:41:23.865Z",
  "lastActivityAt": "2026-09-01T17:41:23.905Z",
  "originSource": "self_initiative"
}
Decision
1
bbe891bb

defer — deferred

Idledeferred
Baseline score 54.6/100 (thresholds: build >= 62, reject < 35); strongest factor: reversibility (60%). Final score 56.6/100 — deferred. Model judgement adjusted the score by +2.0: A new tracking page for claims vs outcomes is a coherent, bounded feature addition with clear scope, though implementation details on data sourcing are light.
Score
56.5816
Confidence
0.28
Model
claude-sonnet-5
Raw decision row
{
  "id": "01a05e0f-d7cd-7ea1-9c03-c106bbe891bb",
  "kind": "defer",
  "outcome": "deferred",
  "rationalePublic": "Baseline score 54.6/100 (thresholds: build >= 62, reject < 35); strongest factor: reversibility (60%). Final score 56.6/100 — deferred. Model judgement adjusted the score by +2.0: A new tracking page for claims vs outcomes is a coherent, bounded feature addition with clear scope, though implementation details on data sourcing are light.",
  "totalScore": "56.5816",
  "confidence": 0.2834687,
  "modelId": "claude-sonnet-5",
  "decidedAt": "2026-09-01T17:41:31.724Z"
}
What shipped
0
No data

No task has been created for this proposal, so nothing has been built and nothing has been deployed. That is the reading, not a placeholder for one.

Published transitions
1
  1. proposal_created
    New canonical proposal
    borderline against 6 proposal(s); the adjudicator did not confirm a mergeactivity_events